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- WORLD, Page 38Grapevine
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- RECURRING NIGHTMARE. Israeli Major General Yossi Peled claims
- he sleeps like a baby. "I wake up every hour and cry," he quips.
- The reason for his restless nights: Peled, who commands Israel's
- northern front, is concerned that Syria is growing confident it
- could wage a new war. Two months ago, says Peled, Syria fired at
- an Israeli warplane that briefly entered Syrian airspace "by
- mistake." On at least one occasion Syrian planes flew over Beirut
- in violation of a tacit Israeli-Syrian understanding. Peled's
- conclusion: "This year they will make a decision whether to go to
- war or not."
-
- NUCLEAR DEUCE. American strategists hear Soviet Foreign
- Minister Eduard Shevardnadze might throw a trump card or two on the
- table when conventional-arms talks begin in Vienna. The Soviets
- might make a ploy to Europe by offering to withdraw nearly 1,500
- Scud, Frog and SS-21 short-range nuclear missiles from Eastern
- Europe and the Western U.S.S.R. if NATO agrees not to modernize its
- aging U.S. Lance nuclear force. The second trump: limiting
- "-offensive" weapons in a zone 100 km (62 miles) wide straddling
- the border between East and West Germany.
-
- PRE-EMPTIVE POST. Popular Philippine Secretary of Defense Fidel
- Ramos likes to keep everyone guessing: Will he run for President
- in 1992 or stage a coup instead? Hard pressed by her supporters,
- President Cory Aquino may try to head off Ramos' candidacy by
- appointing him Ambassador to the U.S. or the Soviet Union. She
- seems less worried about the rumors that Ramos might mount a
- takeover. Aquino trusts the advice of her senior security aides,
- who insist that "Ramos is a constitutionalist. He's ambitious, but
- he won't step out of line."
-
- HOUSE HUNTING. Viet Nam is now promising that its 60,000 to
- 70,000 troops will be withdrawn from Kampuchea by the end of 1990,
- so Washington is quietly preparing for better relations. According
- to Vietnamese officials, a private U.S. citizen whom they would not
- name visited Hanoi earlier this year to examine a building that
- the Vietnamese are offering as a prospective U.S. embassy.